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- 积分
- 10
- 获赠鲜花
- 2 朵
- 个人财富
- 100 金币
- 注册时间
- 2006-3-26
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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。8 z! O/ f Y6 C5 ^9 a7 b& X" w0 c
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GM Overview7 i' W+ S9 w2 ^3 c: Z6 @& a. d
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
7 m5 ~; P6 [7 C1 Z+ Z, d: s1 {• Objectives& V8 V- v: O0 G' Y1 E$ g: n
– What do we “WANT” to do?8 Y& D) f* p7 ]* C
• External Analysis3 k0 v8 e9 X8 q' j0 {* h% r. G
– What do we “NEED” to do?
$ k; Y1 }" f& n– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade9 E8 R' i/ G! `) p H5 T- A
• opportunities & threats
6 }1 i+ p0 F+ A3 y– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
" F! n: N$ x/ o4 M* E• Internal Analysis9 ~4 A9 F2 d8 [2 A
– What “CAN” we do?8 P) B0 x+ c! K% r0 Q2 A
– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
, E7 L0 r; z7 C7 D9 j3 a• abilities, strengths & weaknesses+ \! ? m& [; x3 @, T' U8 F
– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
: A& m9 x: [ v$ j) n, G7 O7 X5 [1 h z# e
• Alternative Evaluation* _$ y" G1 o7 _' |! d
– What are the options?! y$ [" q: n) e
– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options8 k1 Z* ^& x' }7 Q! ^; C
– How does this option “FIT”?
; R$ {! J" y n0 B7 T– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
& A) i$ u& x5 x+ u L5 I– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) 4 e- H/ Q& {+ h7 l0 ^0 K
& ~$ T) l9 J4 g8 Q; y0 A
• Decision
9 j; C) l* Z" t0 C7 q6 @– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).
9 A; S Q) d: b8 F4 K: J/ P– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING: D, E" `, ]! t' X0 l$ @
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?
' Q5 L6 h" N! p• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?5 [( v" ]. M$ o! X4 ]+ `8 x; R
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?
3 @4 P8 ? r( e5 X• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
6 Y. u6 a9 H9 t) @8 `• Why NOT the other options?$ }* \( q% \( ~1 T7 Z$ N, q% O
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
2 F# x+ R+ T, g# [need to be made?+ c: \* z5 _4 F2 m( Q- C
, c) g5 t! c2 s• Action Plan
: X6 q/ k+ Z* M# J• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;0 C/ W3 S3 h$ W0 E. u. `
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your# l6 e. ]" k" ]) C$ b" {4 i
decision
( x! \/ z, h5 `; ~# `# h# @: s– details about timing
; p+ J+ r9 ~# K( R, o9 N1 J* A– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’+ G/ c* G5 L% ^0 {1 p
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)
1 ?) v2 A9 S/ p% N* n1 }, W; Q– make sure to consider both the short term and long term
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9 W. t8 E6 ?/ E. A: P3 wFirm Valuation1 z( ^$ \8 P! s4 @- q
• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.
0 b" g2 o C* R7 Y. B• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
+ w U/ d" R% B: G– Net Book Value: G. T. h9 I# b9 x
– Economic Appraisal$ s; [3 h9 [$ a8 A4 w
– Capitalization of Earnings) ?! n% H6 {+ E+ s: w3 l
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the& Q' w. J. `9 T( s7 ]" v
company is worth.
8 h1 _( r. K/ a, z* s2 ]5 T• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???! b( ?& N( k& Q( {1 s# y6 I
8 F" v5 m; M7 N& r. Z* ?% E Net Book Value (NBV)
I- i: n* |( s– Total Assets - Total Liabilities- x6 D7 b: y6 }5 o/ x
• a.k.a.. the equity
* ?1 Z" [" e/ L9 R7 }0 \, L* y– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
, `6 x" @) `: k$ G+ ]1 N/ r– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet9 p8 f1 g9 a% b! q
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
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7 p' [, S9 Z; Y2 k) n8 f/ c P Economic Appraisal (EA)
! G5 `' x2 W/ }$ C" K– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets$ A2 {/ b, u& D# {! Q/ @
– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities+ [ d, f& h. w u
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
. Y) F+ `* J8 O7 q( \# C8 F" l' A3 Y3 k8 V* f. M% O- I% W6 @0 ?+ t" _
Capitalization of Earnings (CE); q& `" n# g9 b
– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S0 g }+ b! Q4 n- s2 ]# D
• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.
" B! F. x! U% P– NPAT * P/E ratio = value4 Y/ I8 v8 g1 D- {7 m
– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)
/ ^+ G: C9 N, ?0 ^* b- m• Assuming changes (projected statement). g; q+ x V# O' l; T' Y' K
• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
( K, R9 E9 g r2 q" n– Select a reasonable P/E multiple$ b3 d6 @' g- V' _/ X
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
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• P/E Multiple9 N9 d" z8 ^- A# T# k5 P$ t
– Rules of thumb;
! k- R: Y9 E0 Y& ~; r( U4 n0 g9 g• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
( s( ~ g- o2 C. r1 ?8 M! afrom 5 to 15.: P: k. y* o- Z [
• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.4 n& i1 Z6 L% |
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”
0 ?% S# P. n' h– growth increases a multiple: D: o" B; I, j, `, A. c3 t6 B
– risk decreases a multiple/ y& [- H, {( _" b. f( L
4 u s! p( a% m$ _5 f# \% [8 |2 `
Their Associated Ratios
4 a2 z2 B. g+ X3 q0 a• Profitability;
4 ?2 D( h5 i. M3 a– Business goal - to make $$
: \' t7 j# m% b0 v" c- U– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales. v. H$ @2 W; r" E
• Stability;
! o% n) e I& _& G$ e9 f– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)% {9 u( O1 u0 S D1 w
– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts
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5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios/ e; \- t! [# A' }
• Liquidity;; m: g7 J/ ~7 I
– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations
# G& d0 H: w+ N8 m. v– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm# @& Y6 r, l7 u" S# g5 Q
obligations)
s, Y: N# y n( ]• Efficiency;/ t* `' I+ h: S" c
– Business goal - to efficiently use assets! V/ M2 v7 l7 e; z" h
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments4 M) O) r1 e( k- t' _$ `
# l9 W( d7 _! S& w• Growth;8 K. @1 |& ~' P) D9 I
– Business goal - to increase in size0 m- G ^ A2 `6 s; W( } f
– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth
! b7 O: A; H4 C, n& h) p: c' h7 w9 M p% \
Interpreting the Ratios
+ D8 O& q/ T9 }8 e• Profitability;% M/ G# P- _* F4 Y4 s
– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)8 Y1 T8 ]! L& y# T) x9 h2 G C
I/S items * 100 = %
6 ^8 P( |2 N; h8 T/ } Sales ~% a" k' }9 ^: D* K; P# T: U% N7 q% G
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
) y) ]& c$ b/ Y1 R; y8 [– Return on Investment/Equity
5 U3 H1 Y: ]1 e# j9 p9 {Profit ATB4D = % 9 _/ k' [" S+ k- }# ~. p' u& q
Average Equity2 d6 \6 S/ |$ }. ]) w( U; l& N2 V1 K/ u
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]1 u) }( \& p$ p+ R/ D [3 ^$ q2 p
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners' O; b0 i8 L' P
+ R% u/ ^4 e1 U; ~1 b• Stability;
$ a- z4 ^1 E0 e– Net Worth: Total Assets. u0 F+ l+ j4 I5 _$ G& g
Total Equity = % 0 H. q* I3 `: o: |6 \
Total Assets
1 u, Q. c: Z3 T/ G2 @• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money$ ?- F6 M, m7 o3 z1 s, K# E- q
– Debt to Assets
1 b, ]- I$ o& ]* S4 k6 pTotal Debt = %
9 X! x: x4 r/ _ x: z! pTotal Assets
! d5 a+ O g4 c# l• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
. |. ]2 w* K( o& a5 P– Interest Coverage
0 S9 y! Q5 j) C2 M1 i1 j EBIT = # times
. k$ c+ M8 C( t. ^3 ^0 u& Q" _5 [Interest Expense
2 C: v" l0 V9 Q' y* @• tells us how many times we can pay interest
1 d( A! |* \% J# }: c4 v/ p- b6 w$ m
• Liquidity;
x# H; x7 X; K' v6 ~& Z& B– Current Ratio& V, l7 v$ @2 e
Current Assets = X:18 {( @/ y G6 u$ [$ l- Q
Current Liabilities
" _* @5 ?# V f# v$ C" U• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
3 w3 i q* b! C" Z s5 q4 p" |RULE OF THUMB: 2:1$ }9 x( B4 X K4 u2 A
– Acid Test
) S1 ]& E* I4 O- T3 f3 eCash + M/S + A/R = X:1
4 F, U0 D+ T; t: p4 u2 @Current Liabilities
y; a8 f$ H3 `$ T• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us" e: ?0 {1 G$ c* r
RULE OF THUMB: 1:1: S* I8 K$ J2 R1 T! F
& s u- ]- s0 o4 D1 S7 i H– Working Capital9 @% C& w& z2 S; K8 n6 w- k
C.A - C.L = $X5 B B: |6 f+ s' ]7 i" S
• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid9 J9 q6 C6 I1 c/ H
2 B8 V! {& C- U5 x- ^# w, ^, bEfficiency;3 X) h1 t" @, Q. j, o
– Age of Receivables
P1 A+ Y$ B0 L& V8 tAccounts Receivabl = # Days6 t! a6 j9 w3 m) f7 ~
(Sales / 365)
) R9 {/ P5 v% O/ A5 a- g1 b% f. V• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$
% o6 J$ f! \7 }6 j: [# k: `* p
$ ]7 o' p1 w' ?6 s– Age Of Payables
0 D( `8 Z+ D3 e/ d9 N3 AAccounts Payable = # Days7 [8 _2 ^$ h4 e
(Purchases* / 365)$ G, C: R, {) k- f7 \% Y4 F
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
% O# F) }. H1 J9 I7 i% o( q: W& z$ B$ F$ R9 c
– Age of Inventory2 E/ [4 n; J# n) z
Inventory = # Days" J7 c& E0 @( i3 g" m: y
(COGS / 365)
' I- A& N& r8 Q• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse
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" i9 T# u5 v1 K8 g" s• Growth;
% _% X }7 K2 k8 p% E! w– Sales1 l& g3 i& N$ a7 a5 }& @
– Net Income
- G6 v$ j! U5 H, B8 L: r# U: I– Total Assets
; V' v8 Z% Z! s0 E– Equity
4 |3 {( C3 s9 A) |$ SYr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %
7 A' _) T1 }* k$ N7 b' m Yr. 1
) @ w3 U' b! n) I8 k• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
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( b* e% K8 X4 b9 cUnderstanding Ratios' K, {( `/ ^8 S
• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
3 b% `5 y$ ^4 `# t3 F3 B• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio4 k% b2 x. _2 Q
• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”9 u0 Y; g, |' _+ o- O4 a' i M* L3 a
– Which number caused the change?
1 u0 L i5 W/ ~1 e. s: V– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.% i% `( ^3 B' c. ^# y
– Will these trends continue?
! i1 [. r3 b( @# a! X: S2 ~– How does the company compare to the industry?
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, W% r2 M) N* ]Classifying Costs! q/ y7 L2 i( K3 ?) L
• Variable Costs* S, p+ D* i# Q1 ~" h, ^
– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)
A( d0 i6 \5 r+ H( k$ r- S• Fixed Costs. e6 F1 f" Y& Q- f; _4 T8 p
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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